#6 Personality Types and Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty

On today's episode, I'm connecting two intriguing ideas: deep uncertainty and how different personality types handle it. This topic is especially relevant in the context of climate change and finding solutions for adaptation and mitigation.

What Is Deep Uncertainty?

Deep uncertainty goes beyond the usual idea of uncertainty. Unlike the predictable outcomes of a dice throw, deep uncertainty involves:

• Unknown probabilities

• Unclear system responses

• Uncertain preferences for outcomes

The IPCC defines it as a situation where we don’t know:

• The likelihood of outcomes

• How systems will respond to changes

• Which outcomes are preferable

Personality Types and Uncertainty

In dealing with deep uncertainty, different personality types emerge.I use metaphors to describe these types:

• The Snowplow Person – Goal-oriented and focused on progress

• The Submarine Person – Detail-oriented and analytical

• The Ambulance Person – Emotionally aware and responsive

Each type brings unique strengths to navigating the complexities of climate change.

The Role of Science

Science plays a crucial role as a facilitator in decision-making under deep uncertainty.Rather than simply reducing uncertainty, science helps us manage it.

This requires:

• Flexibility

• Adaptability

• A hub-like mindset that balances traits from all personality types

Climate Change: A Wicked Problem

Climate change is a wicked problem, meaning it’s complex, interconnected, and difficult to solve. To address it, we must adopt a hub-like personality—integrating diverse approaches and perspectives.

By understanding deep uncertainty and leveraging diverse personality traits, we can better navigate the challenges ahead.

Thank you for tuning in to this episode.I hope you found it insightful and look forward to sharing more in the next one.